UPDATE: Hurricane MICHAEL in Florida Panhandle/Alabama…News, Maps, Links…

Here’s the latest information and expectations of what the National Weather Service is forecasting for this early fall storm…
Below each of the maps you’ll find a link to get the latest information on that particular threat, as it’s updated over the next few days..

Interactive Map (Link below)

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/212416.shtml?gm_track#contents (opens in new window)

Tropical-Storm-Force Wind Speed Probabilities

 

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/212416.shtml?tswind120#contents  (opens in new window)

Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force Winds

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/212416.shtml?mltoa34#contents (opens in new window)

Risks of Flash Flooding

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/212416.shtml?ero#contents  (opens in new window)

Total Rainfall Amounts QPF

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/212431.shtml?rainqpf#contents   (opens in new window)

Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic*

download KML fileHurricane Michael
Advisory 017   Issued: 4:00 PM CDT Wed Oct 10

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/212431.shtml?wsurge#contents (opens in new window)

Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map (Inundation)

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/212416.shtml?inundation#contents  (opens in new window)

KEY MESSAGES FOR HURRICANE MICHAEL

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/212416.shtml?key_messages#contents (opens in new window)

An Enhanced Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is Forecast Today and/or Tonight
Tornadoes remain possible tonight across Georgia and into the Carolinas.
 For additional details, see the latest Day 1 Convective Outlook.HURRICANE MICHAEL Related Information:
 Visit National Hurricane Center for comprehensive information
 Tornado Watch: 0407
 Day 1 Outlook

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/   (opens in new window)

Other links for weather events, as they happen…

Latest Severe Storm Warnings

https://www.survivalring.org/feeds/latest-severe-storm-warnings/

National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks

  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 20:35:46 -0600: NHC Eastern North Pacific Outlook - National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks

    Eastern North Pacific 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
    Eastern North Pacific 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image


    ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    500 PM PDT Fri Aug 23 2019

    For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Ivo, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the
    southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

    1. A surface trough located about 1000 miles east-southeast of the Big
    Island of Hawaii is producing limited shower and thunderstorm
    activity. Environmental conditions could become a little more
    conducive for some development in a few days as the system moves
    northwestward. Future information on this disturbance can be found
    in Tropical Weather Outlooks issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane
    Center.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

    2. An area of low pressure is forecast to form just offshore of the
    west-central Mexico coast near the southern tip of the Baja
    California peninsula by the middle of next week. Some development of
    this system is possible thereafter while it moves westward or
    west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

    Tropical Weather Outlooks issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane
    Center can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP, and WMO header
    ACPN50 PHFO. It can also be found on the web at hurricanes.gov

    Forecaster Zelinsky


  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 20:34:59 -0600: NHC Atlantic Outlook - National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks

    Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
    Atlantic 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image


    ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Fri Aug 23 2019

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Depression Chantal, located several hundred miles west of the
    Azores.

    1. A broad area of low pressure located near the coast of southeastern
    Florida continues to produce a large area of showers and
    thunderstorms that extend eastward over the northern Bahamas and the
    adjacent western Atlantic waters. The system has changed little in
    organization since this afternoon, but environmental conditions are
    expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical
    depression is likely to form over the weekend. The low is forecast
    to move generally northwestward near or over southeastern Florida
    through tonight, and then move northward to northeastward over the
    Atlantic near the east coast of central Florida on Saturday. After
    that, the system is expected to move northeastward offshore of the
    southeastern United States coast. Regardless of development, locally
    heavy rains are possible over the northwestern Bahamas and the
    southern and central Florida peninsula through the weekend.
    Interests in the northwestern Bahamas, the Florida peninsula, and
    the southeast coast of the United States should monitor the progress
    of this system. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is
    scheduled to investigate the system on Saturday, if necessary.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

    2. Satellite imagery suggests that the circulation associated with an
    area of low pressure located about 1100 miles east-southeast of
    the Windward Islands has become better defined, but the thunderstorm
    activity is limited at this time. Environmental conditions appear
    conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is
    likely to form over the weekend or early next week while it moves
    generally westward to west-northwestward near 15 mph.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

    Forecaster Brown


  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 17:40:10 -0600: CPHC Central North Pacific Outlook - National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks

    Central North Pacific 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
    Central North Pacific 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image


    ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL
    TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
    200 PM HST Fri Aug 23 2019

    For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

    1. A surface trough located about 1000 miles east-southeast of the Big
    Island of Hawaii is producing limited shower and thunderstorm
    activity. Environmental conditions could become a little more
    conducive for some development in a few days as the system moves
    northwestward.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

    Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days.

    Forecaster EATON


NOAA – US Current Watches/Warnings

  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 21:16:00 -0600: Special Weather Statement issued August 23 at 10:16PM CDT by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN WHEELER... SOUTHEASTERN RANDALL...ARMSTRONG...SOUTHEASTERN CARSON...SOUTHERN GRAY AND NORTHWESTERN DONLEY COUNTIES UNTIL 1115 PM CDT... At 1016 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along a line extending from near Kingsmill to 8 miles northeast of Claude to 7 miles south of Washburn. Movement was southeast at 30 mph.
  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 21:14:00 -0600: Flood Advisory issued August 23 at 11:14PM EDT by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    The National Weather Service in Columbia has issued a * Flood Advisory for... Barnwell County in central South Carolina... Bamberg County in central South Carolina... Western Orangeburg County in central South Carolina... * Until 115 AM EDT.
  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 21:13:00 -0600: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 23 at 10:13PM CDT until August 23 at 11:30PM CDT by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    The National Weather Service in Amarillo has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southern Beaver County in the Panhandle of Oklahoma... Lipscomb County in the Panhandle of Texas... Wheeler County in the Panhandle of Texas... Northern Gray County in the Panhandle of Texas...
  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 21:13:00 -0600: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 23 at 10:13PM CDT until August 23 at 11:30PM CDT by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    The National Weather Service in Amarillo has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southern Beaver County in the Panhandle of Oklahoma... Lipscomb County in the Panhandle of Texas... Wheeler County in the Panhandle of Texas... Northern Gray County in the Panhandle of Texas...
  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 21:13:00 -0600: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 23 at 9:13PM MDT until August 23 at 9:45PM MDT by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northwestern Prowers County in southeastern Colorado... South central Kiowa County in southeastern Colorado... Northeastern Bent County in southeastern Colorado... * Until 945 PM MDT.
  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 21:12:00 -0600: Special Weather Statement issued August 23 at 9:12PM MDT by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY... At 912 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11 miles west of Ekalaka, moving northeast at 20 mph. Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible with this storm. Locations impacted include...
  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 21:08:00 -0600: Special Weather Statement issued August 23 at 10:08PM CDT by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL SHERMAN COUNTY UNTIL 945 PM MDT... At 908 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near Ruleton, moving northeast at 40 mph. Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.
  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 21:07:00 -0600: Special Weather Statement issued August 23 at 10:07PM CDT by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR OLDHAM AND DEAF SMITH COUNTIES UNTIL 1100 PM CDT... At 1007 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along a line extending from 10 miles north of Adrian to 10 miles north of Bootleg. Movement was southeast at 40 mph. Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 21:06:00 -0600: Flood Advisory issued August 23 at 8:06PM MST until August 23 at 8:30PM MST by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    The National Weather Service in Tucson has issued a * Small Stream Flood Advisory for... Central Pima County in southeastern Arizona... * Until 1000 PM MST. * At 804 PM MST, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain in excess of 1.5 inches had fallen due to thunderstorms near Cowlic over the last
  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 21:05:00 -0600: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 23 at 10:05PM CDT until August 23 at 10:45PM CDT by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM MDT FOR CHEYENNE COUNTY... At 904 PM MDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from Dalton to 6 miles northwest of Peetz, moving east at 30 mph. A 58 mph wind gust was recorded in Potter with this storm. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail.
  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 21:05:00 -0600: Severe Weather Statement issued August 23 at 10:05PM CDT until August 23 at 11:00PM CDT by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM MDT FOR CHEYENNE COUNTY... At 904 PM MDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from Dalton to 6 miles northwest of Peetz, moving east at 30 mph. A 58 mph wind gust was recorded in Potter with this storm. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail.
  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 21:03:00 -0600: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 23 at 9:03PM MDT until August 23 at 9:30PM MDT by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northwestern Roosevelt County in east central New Mexico... Southwestern Curry County in east central New Mexico... * Until 930 PM MDT. * At 903 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 12 miles southwest
  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 21:02:00 -0600: Special Weather Statement issued August 23 at 9:02PM MDT by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL DONA ANA COUNTY UNTIL 1000 PM MDT... At 900 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms around Las Cruces, moving slowly to the south. Pea size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.
  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 21:00:00 -0600: Flood Advisory issued August 23 at 9:00PM MDT by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    The National Weather Service in Billings has issued a * Small Stream Flood Advisory for Rapid Rises for... Carter County in southeastern Montana... Eastern Powder River County in southeastern Montana... * Until 300 AM MDT Saturday. * At 859 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to
  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 20:58:00 -0600: Flood Advisory issued August 23 at 8:58PM MDT until August 23 at 10:00PM MDT by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    The National Weather Service in Riverton has issued a * Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory for Rapid Rises for... Northwestern Johnson County in north central Wyoming... * Until 1145 PM MDT. * At 846 PM MDT, trained weather spotters have reported up to 3.50 inches of rainfall 2 miles west of Story in Sheridan County.

 

 

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The Author

Rich Fleetwood

Rich is the founder of SurvivalRing, now in it's 20th year, author of multimedia CDs and DVDs, loves the outdoors, his family, his geeky skill-set, and lives in rural Missouri, just a few miles from the Big Muddy. Always ready to help others, he shares what he learns on multiple blogs, social sites, and more. With a background in preparedness and survival skills, training with county, state, and national organizations, and skills in all areas of media and on air experience in live radio and television, Rich is always thinking about the "big picture", when it comes to helping individuals and families prepare for life's little surprises. Since 1997, he has provided guidance, authentic government survival history, and commentary on why we all need to get ready for that fateful day in the future, when we have to get our hands dirty and step in to save the day. He is an award winning videographer (2005 Telly Award), has received state and national scholarly recognition (2006 New Century Scholar and All USA Academic Team), and is a natural with computers, technology, gadgets, small furry mammals, and anything on wheels. Rich likes making friends, solving problems, and creating solutions to everyday issues. He doesn't mind mixing things up, when there is a teaching moment ready to happen. As a constitutional conservative, he's staying quite busy these days. The SurvivalRing Radio Show at www.survivalringradio.com will be coming back SOON!

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