UPDATE: Hurricane MICHAEL in Florida Panhandle/Alabama…News, Maps, Links…

Here’s the latest information and expectations of what the National Weather Service is forecasting for this early fall storm…
Below each of the maps you’ll find a link to get the latest information on that particular threat, as it’s updated over the next few days..

Interactive Map (Link below)

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/212416.shtml?gm_track#contents (opens in new window)

Tropical-Storm-Force Wind Speed Probabilities

 

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/212416.shtml?tswind120#contents  (opens in new window)

Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force Winds

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/212416.shtml?mltoa34#contents (opens in new window)

Risks of Flash Flooding

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/212416.shtml?ero#contents  (opens in new window)

Total Rainfall Amounts QPF

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/212431.shtml?rainqpf#contents   (opens in new window)

Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic*

download KML fileHurricane Michael
Advisory 017   Issued: 4:00 PM CDT Wed Oct 10

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/212431.shtml?wsurge#contents (opens in new window)

Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map (Inundation)

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/212416.shtml?inundation#contents  (opens in new window)

KEY MESSAGES FOR HURRICANE MICHAEL

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/212416.shtml?key_messages#contents (opens in new window)

An Enhanced Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is Forecast Today and/or Tonight
Tornadoes remain possible tonight across Georgia and into the Carolinas.
 For additional details, see the latest Day 1 Convective Outlook.HURRICANE MICHAEL Related Information:
 Visit National Hurricane Center for comprehensive information
 Tornado Watch: 0407
 Day 1 Outlook

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/   (opens in new window)

Other links for weather events, as they happen…

Latest Severe Storm Warnings

https://www.survivalring.org/feeds/latest-severe-storm-warnings/

National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks

  • Mon, 27 Sep 2021 06:12:11 -0600: NHC Atlantic Outlook - National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks

    Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
    Atlantic 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image


    ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA

    Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021

    Corrected formation chances to medium in last two paragraphs

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Sam, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles.

    1. An elongated area of low pressure associated with the remnants of
    Peter is located a few hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda.
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with this system have changed
    little in organization since yesterday. However, environmental
    conditions are marginally conducive for some further development,
    and Peter could briefly become a tropical depression again during
    the next day or two while it moves northeastward near 10 mph.
    By midweek, environmental conditions are expected to become
    unfavorable for further development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

    2. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated with a broad
    area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the
    Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
    conducive for further development of this disturbance, and a
    tropical depression is likely to form in a few days while it moves
    westward to west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the central
    tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

    3. A tropical wave is moving offshore the west coast of Africa and
    into the far eastern tropical Atlantic. Upper-level winds are
    forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical
    depression is likely to form in a few days while the system moves
    westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the far eastern
    tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

    Forecaster Hagen/Pasch


  • Mon, 27 Sep 2021 05:56:14 -0600: CPHC Central North Pacific Outlook - National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks

    Central North Pacific 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
    Central North Pacific 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image


    ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL
    TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
    200 AM HST Mon Sep 27 2021

    For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

    No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Kinel
    NNNN


  • Mon, 27 Sep 2021 05:08:35 -0600: NHC Eastern North Pacific Outlook - National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks

    Eastern North Pacific 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
    Eastern North Pacific 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image


    ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    500 AM PDT Mon Sep 27 2021

    For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

    1. An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
    offshore the southwestern coast of Mexico by midweek. Environmental
    conditions could be conducive for some gradual development of this
    system during the latter parts of the week while it moves slowly
    northwestward or northward, remaining well offshore the southwestern
    coast of Mexico.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

    Forecaster Latto


NOAA – US Current Watches/Warnings

  • Mon, 27 Sep 2021 07:46:00 -0600: Flood Warning issued September 27 at 9:46AM EDT until further notice by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia... Satilla River At Atkinson affecting Brantley County. Additional information is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/forecasts.php?wfo=jax. && ...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
  • Mon, 27 Sep 2021 07:45:00 -0600: Flood Warning issued September 27 at 9:45AM EDT until further notice by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    ...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Florida... Santa Fe River Near O`Leno State Park affecting Alachua and Columbia Counties. ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... Santa Fe River At Hildreth On U.s. 129 Bridge affecting Gilchrist
  • Mon, 27 Sep 2021 07:45:00 -0600: Flood Warning issued September 27 at 9:45AM EDT until September 30 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    ...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Florida... Santa Fe River Near O`Leno State Park affecting Alachua and Columbia Counties. ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... Santa Fe River At Hildreth On U.s. 129 Bridge affecting Gilchrist
  • Mon, 27 Sep 2021 07:45:00 -0600: Flood Warning issued September 27 at 9:45AM EDT until October 01 at 2:00AM EDT by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    ...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Florida... Santa Fe River Near O`Leno State Park affecting Alachua and Columbia Counties. ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... Santa Fe River At Hildreth On U.s. 129 Bridge affecting Gilchrist
  • Mon, 27 Sep 2021 07:45:00 -0600: Flood Warning issued September 27 at 9:45AM EDT until September 28 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    ...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Georgia...Florida... St Mary`s River At Macclenny affecting Nassau, Baker and Charlton Counties. Additional information is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/forecasts.php?wfo=jax.
  • Mon, 27 Sep 2021 07:45:00 -0600: Flood Warning issued September 27 at 9:45AM EDT until further notice by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    ...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Florida... Santa Fe River Near O`Leno State Park affecting Alachua and Columbia Counties. ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... Santa Fe River At Hildreth On U.s. 129 Bridge affecting Gilchrist
  • Mon, 27 Sep 2021 07:45:00 -0600: Flood Warning issued September 27 at 9:45AM EDT until September 28 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    ...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Georgia...Florida... St Mary`s River At Macclenny affecting Nassau, Baker and Charlton Counties. Additional information is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/forecasts.php?wfo=jax.
  • Mon, 27 Sep 2021 07:21:00 -0600: Beach Hazards Statement issued September 27 at 9:21AM EDT until September 27 at 4:00PM EDT by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...High risk of rip currents. * WHERE...Lake and Ashtabula Lakeshore Counties. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EDT this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Wind and wave action will cause currents on the
  • Mon, 27 Sep 2021 07:21:00 -0600: Beach Hazards Statement issued September 27 at 9:21AM EDT until September 27 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...High risk of rip currents. * WHERE...Northern Erie County. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Wind and wave action will cause currents on the
  • Mon, 27 Sep 2021 07:19:00 -0600: Flood Warning issued September 27 at 9:19AM EDT until further notice by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Michigan... Huron River Near Hamburg affecting Livingston County. ...The Flood Warning remains in effect... The Flood Warning continues for the Huron River Near Hamburg.
  • Mon, 27 Sep 2021 07:13:00 -0600: Flood Warning issued September 27 at 9:13AM EDT until further notice by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    ...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Florida... Horse Creek Near Arcadia at SR 72 affecting DeSoto County. ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... Cypress Creek At SR 54 Worthington Gardens affecting Pasco County. Myakka River At Myakka River State Park affecting Sarasota County.
  • Mon, 27 Sep 2021 07:13:00 -0600: Flood Warning issued September 27 at 9:13AM EDT until September 28 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    ...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Florida... Horse Creek Near Arcadia at SR 72 affecting DeSoto County. ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... Cypress Creek At SR 54 Worthington Gardens affecting Pasco County. Myakka River At Myakka River State Park affecting Sarasota County.
  • Mon, 27 Sep 2021 07:13:00 -0600: Flood Warning issued September 27 at 9:13AM EDT until further notice by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    ...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Florida... Horse Creek Near Arcadia at SR 72 affecting DeSoto County. ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... Cypress Creek At SR 54 Worthington Gardens affecting Pasco County. Myakka River At Myakka River State Park affecting Sarasota County.
  • Mon, 27 Sep 2021 06:12:00 -0600: Special Weather Statement issued September 27 at 5:12AM PDT by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    ...Gusty Winds through Tuesday, Few Showers Monday Night, Colder Temps Tuesday-Wednesday... WINDS: Strong and gusty southwest winds are expected Monday and Monday night turning northerly and becoming more breezy Tuesday as a cold front moves through. Plan on impacts to air/road travel, choppy lake conditions, areas of blowing dust, and increased fire
  • Mon, 27 Sep 2021 06:12:00 -0600: Special Weather Statement issued September 27 at 5:12AM PDT by NWS - Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for the United States Issued by the National Weather Service
    ...Gusty Winds through Tuesday, Few Showers Monday Night, Colder Temps Tuesday-Wednesday... WINDS: Strong and gusty southwest winds are expected Monday and Monday night turning northerly and becoming more breezy Tuesday as a cold front moves through. Plan on impacts to air/road travel, choppy lake conditions, areas of blowing dust, and increased fire

 

 

The Author

Rich Fleetwood

Rich is the founder of SurvivalRing, now in it's 24th year, author of multimedia CDs and DVDs, loves the outdoors, his family, his geeky skill-set, and lives in rural southern Wyoming, just below the continental divide (long story, that...). Always ready to help others, he shares what he learns on multiple blogs, many social sites, and more. With a background in preparedness and survival skills, training with county, state, and national organizations, and skills in all areas of media and on air experience in live radio and television, Rich is always thinking about the "big picture", when it comes to helping individuals and families prepare for life's little surprises.

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