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NOAA – Storm Prediction Center – Feed For SPC Mesoscale Discussions
- Fri, 25 Jun 2021 00:41:04 -0600: SPC MD 1089 - SPC Mesoscale Discussions
MD 1089 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1089 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0140 AM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021 Areas affected...Central and Eastern Kansas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 250640Z - 250915Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...An isolated wind-damage threat will likely continue across parts of central Kansas over the next couple of hours. The threat may spread into eastern Kansas later tonight. The threat should be too marginal for weather watch issuance. DISCUSSION...The latest radar imagery from Topeka shows a strong short line segment across central Kansas. The line has become slightly more organized over the last hour as reflectively has intensified along a wing of warm advection. This line is located on an east-to-west outflow boundary that is located near I-70. The air mass near the boundary is moderately unstable, with the RAP estimating MLCAPE in the 1500 to 2000 J/kg. In addition, the Topeka WSR-88D VWP has 0-6 km shear near 30 kt with strong directional shear in the lowest 1 km above ground level. This should be enough to support the line for a few more hours as it moves eastward along the outflow boundary into eastern Kansas. The wind-damage threat should continue but is expected to remain too isolated to warrant weather watch issuance. ..Broyles/Edwards.. 06/25/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...DDC... LAT...LON 37889507 37739742 37949839 38209863 38719843 39209774 38999613 38779501 37889507Read more
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