NOAA SPC – Mesoscale Discussions

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NOAA – Storm Prediction Center – Feed For SPC Mesoscale Discussions

  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 20:09:04 -0600: SPC MD 1845 - SPC Mesoscale Discussions
    MD 1845 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 613...615... FOR PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL COLORADO AND WESTERN KANSAS
    MD 1845 Image
    
    Mesoscale Discussion 1845
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0908 PM CDT Fri Aug 23 2019
    
    Areas affected...Portions of east-central Colorado and western
    Kansas
    
    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 613...615...
    
    Valid 240208Z - 240415Z
    
    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 613, 615
    continues.
    
    SUMMARY...Marked downward trend in storm intensity in from
    east-central Colorado to southwest Kansas in the last hour has
    reduced overall severe threat. Localized strong gusts and isolated
    marginally severe hail may still occur, but WW 613 and WW 615 will
    be allowed to expire at 04Z.
    
    DISCUSSION...Storms along the outflow boundary west of Dodge City,
    KS have generally remained stationary with some tendency to move
    southward into more buoyant air. The amount of convective
    overturning that has occurred in southwestern Kansas will diminish
    the overall severe threat. In east-central Colorado, the slow moving
    cluster of storms has continued to move into more stable air behind
    the outflow boundary. Trends in radar imagery has generally shown a
    decrease in storm intensity as high reflectivity cores aloft have
    diminished in the last half hour. A modest increase in the low-level
    jet this evening may allow some of this activity to pose a
    sporadic/localized threat for a strong wind gust or marginally
    severe hail. Given the observational trends, WW 613 and WW 615 will
    be allowed to expire at 04Z.
    
    ..Wendt.. 08/24/2019
    
    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
    
    ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...
    
    LAT...LON   37210133 38280301 38720353 39570369 39910313 39900233
                39890205 38590019 37369995 37170017 37100076 37070112
                37210133 
    
    
    Read more
  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 19:41:03 -0600: SPC MD 1844 - SPC Mesoscale Discussions
    MD 1844 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF TEXAS PANHANDLE AND NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA
    MD 1844 Image
    
    Mesoscale Discussion 1844
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0840 PM CDT Fri Aug 23 2019
    
    Areas affected...Portions of Texas Panhandle and northwestern
    Oklahoma
    
    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 
    
    Valid 240140Z - 240345Z
    
    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
    
    SUMMARY...Strong to severe wind gusts will remain possible for the
    next hour or two. Greatest risk will exist from near Pampa, TX to
    near Gage, OK. A new WW is not expected for downstream areas from
    current activity.
    
    DISCUSSION...Recently measured severe wind gusts at Dumas, TX (50
    kts) and Beaver, OK (61 kts) indicate that that some risk for severe
    wind gusts will persist into early evening. The greatest risk
    appears to be from the Pampa, TX vicinity to Gage, OK where
    dewpoints have remained in the low 60s F to around 70 F in Hemphill,
    TX, minimizing MLCIN in this area. However, with continued boundary
    layer cooling and weak upper-level support, this threat is not
    likely to continue for more than another hour or two. The 00Z AMA
    sounding shows weak MLCIN with increasing inhibition noted in
    Oklahoma per the 00Z OUN sounding. A new WW is not anticipated for
    areas downstream of the ongoing activity.
    
    ..Wendt/Grams.. 08/24/2019
    
    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
    
    ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...
    
    LAT...LON   35360285 36350198 36950046 36869952 36289898 35019977
                34640104 34580236 34970283 35360285 
    
    
    Read more

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The Author

Rich Fleetwood

Rich is the founder of SurvivalRing, now in it's 20th year, author of multimedia CDs and DVDs, loves the outdoors, his family, his geeky skill-set, and lives in rural Missouri, just a few miles from the Big Muddy. Always ready to help others, he shares what he learns on multiple blogs, social sites, and more. With a background in preparedness and survival skills, training with county, state, and national organizations, and skills in all areas of media and on air experience in live radio and television, Rich is always thinking about the "big picture", when it comes to helping individuals and families prepare for life's little surprises. Since 1997, he has provided guidance, authentic government survival history, and commentary on why we all need to get ready for that fateful day in the future, when we have to get our hands dirty and step in to save the day. He is an award winning videographer (2005 Telly Award), has received state and national scholarly recognition (2006 New Century Scholar and All USA Academic Team), and is a natural with computers, technology, gadgets, small furry mammals, and anything on wheels. Rich likes making friends, solving problems, and creating solutions to everyday issues. He doesn't mind mixing things up, when there is a teaching moment ready to happen. As a constitutional conservative, he's staying quite busy these days. The SurvivalRing Radio Show at www.survivalringradio.com will be coming back SOON!

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