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Rich
NOAA – Storm Prediction Center – Feed For tornado/severe thunderstorm watches, mesoscale discussions, convective outlooks, fire weather outlooks:
- Sat, 23 Feb 2019 21:30:06 -0700: SPC - No watches are valid as of Sun Feb 24 04:31:01 UTC 2019 - SPC Forecast Products
No watches are valid as of Sun Feb 24 04:31:01 UTC 2019. - Sat, 23 Feb 2019 19:53:03 -0700: SPC MD 131 - SPC Forecast Products
MD 0131 CONCERNING HEAVY SNOW FOR SOUTHEAST MN...CENTRAL/NORTHERN WI...WESTERN U.P. OF MI
Mesoscale Discussion 0131 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0852 PM CST Sat Feb 23 2019 Areas affected...Southeast MN...Central/Northern WI...Western U.P. of MI Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 240252Z - 240815Z SUMMARY...Heavy snow will become widespread across the region later tonight. Snowfall rates of 1-2" per hour will be possible. DISCUSSION...At 0230Z, a deepening cyclone is located over southeast IA, with a well-defined band of heavy snow to the north and west of the low across eastern NE/western IA into southern MN. As the cyclone tracks northeastward, heavy snow rates will develop into portions of central/northern WI after 03Z, and eventually into the U.P. of Michigan after 06Z. Steep midlevel lapse rates (as observed in 00Z OAX sounding and implied by scattered lightning activity portions of IA/northern IL/southern WI) along the leading edge of the dry slot and intense deep-layer ascent will continue to support convective elements within the precipitation shield and result in heavy snow rates of 1-2" per hour to the north and west of the cyclone track as it moves towards the Great Lakes. ..Dean.. 02/24/2019 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...DLH...ARX...MPX... LAT...LON 45139279 45429233 46299081 47518787 46948731 46298723 45578786 44868871 44518952 44239023 44099087 44109137 44109172 44189201 44399249 44689307 45139279Read more - Sat, 23 Feb 2019 19:01:02 -0700: SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO) - SPC Forecast Products
Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1025 AM CST SAT FEB 23 2019 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Lower Mississippi Valley and Tennessee Valley this afternoon and evening... * LOCATIONS... Northern and central Mississippi Western and middle Tennessee Northwest Alabama Southeast Arkansas Northeast Louisiana * HAZARDS... Several tornadoes, a few intense Scattered damaging winds Isolated large hail * SUMMARY... A few strong tornadoes, scattered damaging winds, and isolated large hail are expected, primarily through this evening across the Lower Mississippi Valley into the Tennessee Valley. The most dangerous period for tornadoes should be around 2 to 8 PM CST across northern Mississippi, southwest Tennessee, and far northwest Alabama. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A tornado watch means that conditions are favorable for tornadoes to form during the next several hours. If a tornado warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in a basement or interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building.
Read more - Sat, 23 Feb 2019 18:19:29 -0700: SPC Feb 24, 2019 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - SPC Forecast Products
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0713 PM CST Sat Feb 23 2019 Valid 240100Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Risk for locally damaging winds and a tornado persists across the Tennessee Valley vicinity. ...Tennessee Valley vicinity into the central Gulf Coast region... Convective intensity continues to gradually wane across the risk area, as diurnal cooling continues to yield a slow decrease in CAPE across the region. With favorable shear still in place across the warm sector, some risk for a few severe storms will linger. However, with a pronounced wedge front as far west as Middle Tennessee/northwest Alabama and the northern 2/3 of Georgia, the zone where surface-based severe risk persists continues to shrink, as the cold front advances. Greatest risk for a tornado or two appears to linger over north-central Alabama, with lesser risk south/southwest across a larger portion of Mississippi and Alabama -- over the next couple of hours. ..Goss.. 02/24/2019
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