NOAA SPC – Fire Weather

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NOAA – Storm Prediction Center – Feed For SPC Fire Weather Outlooks

  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 20:16:03 -0600: SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 615 Status Reports - SPC Forecast Products
    WW 0615 Status Updates
    WW 0615 Status Image
    
    STATUS REPORT ON WW 615
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNE GUY
    TO 30 WSW GCK TO 5 NW DDC.
    
    FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1845
    
    ..WENDT..08/24/19
    
    ATTN...WFO...DDC...
    
    
    STATUS REPORT FOR WS 615 
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 
    
    KSC069-081-119-175-240340-
    
    KS 
    .    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    GRAY                 HASKELL             MEADE               
    SEWARD               
    
    
    THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
    REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
    INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
    CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
    
    
    Read more
  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 20:16:02 -0600: SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 615 - SPC Forecast Products
    WW 615 SEVERE TSTM KS 232350Z - 240400Z
    WW 0615 Image
    
    URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
    Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 615
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    650 PM CDT Fri Aug 23 2019
    
    The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
    
    * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
      Southwest Kansas
    
    * Effective this Friday evening from 650 PM until 1100 PM CDT.
    
    * Primary threats include...
      Isolated significant damaging wind gusts to 75 mph possible
      Isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter
        possible
      A tornado or two possible
    
    SUMMARY...Discrete supercell over southwest Kansas may evolve into a
    slow-moving cluster along a remnant outflow boundary.
    
    The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
    statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles north of
    Elkhart KS to 30 miles east southeast of Garden City KS. For a
    complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
    update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
    
    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
    
    REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
    favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
    Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
    weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
    warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
    tornadoes.
    
    &&
    
    OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 612...WW 613...WW 614...
    
    AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
    2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
    few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
    29015.
    
    ...Grams
    
    
    Read more
  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 20:14:04 -0600: SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 613 Status Reports - SPC Forecast Products
    WW 0613 Status Updates
    WW 0613 Status Image
    
    STATUS REPORT ON WW 613
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SW CAO TO
    10 SE CAO TO 30 NE DHT TO GUY TO 15 NNE GUY TO 55 WNW GCK TO 30
    NW LAA TO 10 E CYS.
    
    FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1845
    
    ..WENDT..08/24/19
    
    ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...DDC...ABQ...AMA...
    
    
    STATUS REPORT FOR WS 613 
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 
    
    COC017-061-063-075-087-095-115-121-123-125-240340-
    
    CO 
    .    COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    CHEYENNE             KIOWA               KIT CARSON          
    LOGAN                MORGAN              PHILLIPS            
    SEDGWICK             WASHINGTON          WELD                
    YUMA                 
    
    
    KSC023-071-181-199-240340-
    
    KS 
    .    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    CHEYENNE             GREELEY             SHERMAN             
    WALLACE              
    
    
    NEC057-240340-
    
    
    Read more
  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 20:14:04 -0600: SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 613 - SPC Forecast Products
    WW 613 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE NM OK TX 232035Z - 240400Z
    WW 0613 Image
    
    URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
    Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 613
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    235 PM MDT Fri Aug 23 2019
    
    The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
    
    * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
      Eastern Colorado
      Extreme western Kansas
      Extreme southwestern Nebraska
      Extreme northeastern New Mexico
      The western Oklahoma Panhandle
      The northwestern Texas Panhandle
    
    * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 235 PM until
      1000 PM MDT.
    
    * Primary threats include...
      Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
      Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
      A tornado or two possible
    
    SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forming in several clusters along the
    Front Range from northeastern New Mexico northward into Colorado. 
    The storm environment is most favorable for multicell clusters and
    some upscale growth into larger clusters/line segments with an
    attendant threat for damaging winds and large hail.  An isolated
    tornado or two may occur later this evening as storms interact with
    a remnant outflow boundary near the Kansas/Colorado border.
    
    The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
    statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles north northwest
    of Akron CO to 25 miles south southeast of Dalhart TX. For a
    complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
    update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
    
    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
    
    REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
    favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
    Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
    weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
    warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
    tornadoes.
    
    &&
    
    OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 612...
    
    AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
    1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
    few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
    27025.
    
    ...Thompson
    
    
    Read more
  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 20:09:04 -0600: SPC MD 1845 - SPC Forecast Products
    MD 1845 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 613...615... FOR PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL COLORADO AND WESTERN KANSAS
    MD 1845 Image
    
    Mesoscale Discussion 1845
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0908 PM CDT Fri Aug 23 2019
    
    Areas affected...Portions of east-central Colorado and western
    Kansas
    
    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 613...615...
    
    Valid 240208Z - 240415Z
    
    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 613, 615
    continues.
    
    SUMMARY...Marked downward trend in storm intensity in from
    east-central Colorado to southwest Kansas in the last hour has
    reduced overall severe threat. Localized strong gusts and isolated
    marginally severe hail may still occur, but WW 613 and WW 615 will
    be allowed to expire at 04Z.
    
    DISCUSSION...Storms along the outflow boundary west of Dodge City,
    KS have generally remained stationary with some tendency to move
    southward into more buoyant air. The amount of convective
    overturning that has occurred in southwestern Kansas will diminish
    the overall severe threat. In east-central Colorado, the slow moving
    cluster of storms has continued to move into more stable air behind
    the outflow boundary. Trends in radar imagery has generally shown a
    decrease in storm intensity as high reflectivity cores aloft have
    diminished in the last half hour. A modest increase in the low-level
    jet this evening may allow some of this activity to pose a
    sporadic/localized threat for a strong wind gust or marginally
    severe hail. Given the observational trends, WW 613 and WW 615 will
    be allowed to expire at 04Z.
    
    ..Wendt.. 08/24/2019
    
    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
    
    ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...
    
    LAT...LON   37210133 38280301 38720353 39570369 39910313 39900233
                39890205 38590019 37369995 37170017 37100076 37070112
                37210133 
    
    
    Read more
  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 20:07:04 -0600: SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 614 Status Reports - SPC Forecast Products
    WW 0614 Status Updates
    WW 0614 Status Image
    
    STATUS REPORT ON WW 614
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W SNY TO
    20 WSW AIA TO 40 NW CDR TO 20 SE GCC.
    
    ..SMITH..08/24/19
    
    ATTN...WFO...CYS...UNR...RIW...
    
    
    STATUS REPORT FOR WS 614 
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 
    
    NEC013-033-045-105-123-240250-
    
    NE 
    .    NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    BOX BUTTE            CHEYENNE            DAWES               
    KIMBALL              MORRILL             
    
    
    SDC033-047-240250-
    
    SD 
    .    SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    CUSTER               FALL RIVER          
    
    
    WYC005-011-045-240250-
    
    WY 
    .    WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    CAMPBELL             CROOK               WESTON              
    
    
    
    Read more
  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 20:07:03 -0600: SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 614 - SPC Forecast Products
    WW 614 SEVERE TSTM NE SD WY 232055Z - 240400Z
    WW 0614 Image
    
    URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
    Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 614
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    255 PM MDT Fri Aug 23 2019
    
    The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
    
    * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
      The western Nebraska Panhandle
      Extreme southwestern South Dakota
      Much of central and eastern Wyoming
    
    * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 255 PM until
      1000 PM MDT.
    
    * Primary threats include...
      Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
      Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
    
    SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forming across central Wyoming and
    immediately east of the higher terrain into eastern Wyoming.  The
    storm environment is sufficient for supercells across central
    Wyoming, though growth into clusters with damaging winds and large
    hail should be the primary concern through late evening.
    
    The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
    statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles east southeast
    of Cheyenne WY to 95 miles north northeast of Casper WY. For a
    complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
    update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
    
    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
    
    REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
    favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
    Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
    weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
    warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
    tornadoes.
    
    &&
    
    OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 612...WW 613...
    
    AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
    1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
    few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
    23025.
    
    ...Thompson
    
    
    Read more
  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 19:41:03 -0600: SPC MD 1844 - SPC Forecast Products
    MD 1844 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF TEXAS PANHANDLE AND NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA
    MD 1844 Image
    
    Mesoscale Discussion 1844
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0840 PM CDT Fri Aug 23 2019
    
    Areas affected...Portions of Texas Panhandle and northwestern
    Oklahoma
    
    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 
    
    Valid 240140Z - 240345Z
    
    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
    
    SUMMARY...Strong to severe wind gusts will remain possible for the
    next hour or two. Greatest risk will exist from near Pampa, TX to
    near Gage, OK. A new WW is not expected for downstream areas from
    current activity.
    
    DISCUSSION...Recently measured severe wind gusts at Dumas, TX (50
    kts) and Beaver, OK (61 kts) indicate that that some risk for severe
    wind gusts will persist into early evening. The greatest risk
    appears to be from the Pampa, TX vicinity to Gage, OK where
    dewpoints have remained in the low 60s F to around 70 F in Hemphill,
    TX, minimizing MLCIN in this area. However, with continued boundary
    layer cooling and weak upper-level support, this threat is not
    likely to continue for more than another hour or two. The 00Z AMA
    sounding shows weak MLCIN with increasing inhibition noted in
    Oklahoma per the 00Z OUN sounding. A new WW is not anticipated for
    areas downstream of the ongoing activity.
    
    ..Wendt/Grams.. 08/24/2019
    
    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
    
    ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...
    
    LAT...LON   35360285 36350198 36950046 36869952 36289898 35019977
                34640104 34580236 34970283 35360285 
    
    
    Read more
  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 19:22:06 -0600: SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 612 Status Reports - SPC Forecast Products
    WW 0612 Status Updates
    WW 0612 Status Image
    
    STATUS REPORT ON WW 612
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ENE RDU
    TO 10 SE GSO TO 30 SE RZZ.
    
    WW 612 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 240200Z.
    
    ..SMITH..08/24/19
    
    ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RAH...RNK...
    
    
    STATUS REPORT FOR WS 612 
    
    SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 
    
    NCC001-063-069-081-127-135-240200-
    
    NC 
    .    NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
    ALAMANCE             DURHAM              FRANKLIN            
    GUILFORD             NASH                ORANGE              
    
    
    THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
    REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
    INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
    CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
    
    
    Read more
  • Fri, 23 Aug 2019 18:48:46 -0600: SPC Aug 24, 2019 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - SPC Forecast Products
    SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
    Day 1 Outlook Image
    Day 1 Convective Outlook  
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0739 PM CDT Fri Aug 23 2019
    
    Valid 240100Z - 241200Z
    
    ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
    THE HIGH PLAINS...
    
    ...SUMMARY...
    Multiple clusters of storms will pose a damaging wind and hail
    threat across parts of eastern Wyoming and Colorado into western
    South Dakota, Nebraska and Kansas this evening. The severe threat
    may extend as far south as the Oklahoma/Texas Panhandle vicinity.
    
    ...VA and NC Vicinity...
    
    The main change with the 01z update is to remove the Slight and
    Marginal risk probabilities. Overall, the threat has greatly
    diminished, and  should continue to do so over the next couple of
    hours as storms move offshore and as the boundary layer stabilizes
    with loss of daytime heating. A couple of locally strong gusts will
    remain possible over the next hour or so. 
    
    ...High Plains...
    
    Only minor adjustments have been made to the Slight and Marginal
    risk areas based on latest trends and ongoing convection. Isolated
    large hail and strong, locally damaging wind gusts will be possible
    through the evening, mainly from eastern WY southward through the
    central High Plains into the TX Panhandle. A line of semi-discrete
    storms is developing this evening across southwest KS in an area of
    moist convergence along an outflow boundary along with an increasing
    low level jet. This band of storms should persist for several more
    hours this evening, posing a damaging wind threat across parts of
    western KS and perhaps parts of the OK/TX Panhandles/northwest OK.
    Additional clusters of storms across east-central and northeast CO
    and eastern WY will shift eastward into northwest KS, western NE,
    and southwest SD.  With the strengthening low level jet now evident
    in observations, these clusters also may grow upscale into bowing
    segments, increasing damaging wind potential as they shift east
    through the evening.
    
    ..Leitman.. 08/24/2019
    
    
    Read more

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The Author

Rich Fleetwood

Rich is the founder of SurvivalRing, now in it's 20th year, author of multimedia CDs and DVDs, loves the outdoors, his family, his geeky skill-set, and lives in rural Missouri, just a few miles from the Big Muddy. Always ready to help others, he shares what he learns on multiple blogs, social sites, and more. With a background in preparedness and survival skills, training with county, state, and national organizations, and skills in all areas of media and on air experience in live radio and television, Rich is always thinking about the "big picture", when it comes to helping individuals and families prepare for life's little surprises. Since 1997, he has provided guidance, authentic government survival history, and commentary on why we all need to get ready for that fateful day in the future, when we have to get our hands dirty and step in to save the day. He is an award winning videographer (2005 Telly Award), has received state and national scholarly recognition (2006 New Century Scholar and All USA Academic Team), and is a natural with computers, technology, gadgets, small furry mammals, and anything on wheels. Rich likes making friends, solving problems, and creating solutions to everyday issues. He doesn't mind mixing things up, when there is a teaching moment ready to happen. As a constitutional conservative, he's staying quite busy these days. The SurvivalRing Radio Show at www.survivalringradio.com will be coming back SOON!

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