NOAA SPC – Fire Weather

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NOAA – Storm Prediction Center – Feed For SPC Fire Weather Outlooks

  • Sat, 23 Feb 2019 21:30:06 -0700: SPC - No watches are valid as of Sun Feb 24 04:31:01 UTC 2019 - SPC Forecast Products
    No watches are valid as of Sun Feb 24 04:31:01 UTC 2019.
  • Sat, 23 Feb 2019 19:53:03 -0700: SPC MD 131 - SPC Forecast Products
    MD 0131 CONCERNING HEAVY SNOW FOR SOUTHEAST MN...CENTRAL/NORTHERN WI...WESTERN U.P. OF MI
    MD 0131 Image
    
    Mesoscale Discussion 0131
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0852 PM CST Sat Feb 23 2019
    
    Areas affected...Southeast MN...Central/Northern WI...Western U.P.
    of MI
    
    Concerning...Heavy snow 
    
    Valid 240252Z - 240815Z
    
    SUMMARY...Heavy snow will become widespread across the region later
    tonight. Snowfall rates of 1-2" per hour will be possible.
    
    DISCUSSION...At 0230Z, a deepening cyclone is located over southeast
    IA, with a well-defined band of heavy snow to the north and west of
    the low across eastern NE/western IA into southern MN. As the
    cyclone tracks northeastward, heavy snow rates will develop into
    portions of central/northern WI after 03Z, and eventually into the
    U.P. of Michigan after 06Z. Steep midlevel lapse rates (as observed
    in 00Z OAX sounding and implied by scattered lightning activity
    portions of IA/northern IL/southern WI) along the leading edge of
    the dry slot and intense deep-layer ascent will continue to support
    convective elements within the precipitation shield and result in
    heavy snow rates of 1-2" per hour to the north and west of the
    cyclone track as it moves towards the Great Lakes.
    
    ..Dean.. 02/24/2019
    
    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
    
    ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...DLH...ARX...MPX...
    
    LAT...LON   45139279 45429233 46299081 47518787 46948731 46298723
                45578786 44868871 44518952 44239023 44099087 44109137
                44109172 44189201 44399249 44689307 45139279 
    
    
    Read more
  • Sat, 23 Feb 2019 19:01:02 -0700: SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO) - SPC Forecast Products
    Public Severe Weather Outlook
    PWO Image
    PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
    1025 AM CST SAT FEB 23 2019
    
    ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Lower Mississippi
    Valley and Tennessee Valley this afternoon and evening...
    
    * LOCATIONS...
      Northern and central Mississippi
      Western and middle Tennessee
      Northwest Alabama
      Southeast Arkansas
      Northeast Louisiana
    
    * HAZARDS...
      Several tornadoes, a few intense
      Scattered damaging winds
      Isolated large hail
    
    * SUMMARY...
      A few strong tornadoes, scattered damaging winds, and isolated
      large hail are expected, primarily through this evening across
      the Lower Mississippi Valley into the Tennessee Valley. The most
      dangerous period for tornadoes should be around 2 to 8 PM CST
      across northern Mississippi, southwest Tennessee, and far
      northwest Alabama.
    
    Preparedness actions...
    
    Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility
    of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, 
    weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A tornado
    watch means that conditions are favorable for tornadoes to form
    during the next several hours. If a tornado warning is issued for
    your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in a basement or
    interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building.
    
    
    Read more
  • Sat, 23 Feb 2019 18:19:29 -0700: SPC Feb 24, 2019 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - SPC Forecast Products
    SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
    Day 1 Outlook Image
    Day 1 Convective Outlook  
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0713 PM CST Sat Feb 23 2019
    
    Valid 240100Z - 241200Z
    
    ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
    ALABAMA...
    
    ...SUMMARY...
    Risk for locally damaging winds and a tornado persists across the
    Tennessee Valley vicinity.
    
    ...Tennessee Valley vicinity into the central Gulf Coast region...
    Convective intensity continues to gradually wane across the risk
    area, as diurnal cooling continues to yield a slow decrease in CAPE
    across the region.  With favorable shear still in place across the
    warm sector, some risk for a few severe storms will linger. 
    However, with a pronounced wedge front as far west as Middle
    Tennessee/northwest Alabama and the northern 2/3 of Georgia, the
    zone where surface-based severe risk persists continues to shrink,
    as the cold front advances.  
    
    Greatest risk for a tornado or two appears to linger over
    north-central Alabama, with lesser risk south/southwest across a
    larger portion of Mississippi and Alabama -- over the next couple of
    hours.
    
    ..Goss.. 02/24/2019
    
    
    Read more

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Updated: March 12, 2011 — 12:32 pm

The Author

Rich Fleetwood

Rich is the founder of SurvivalRing, now in it's 20th year, author of multimedia CDs and DVDs, loves the outdoors, his family, his geeky skill-set, and lives in rural Missouri, just a few miles from the Big Muddy. Always ready to help others, he shares what he learns on multiple blogs, social sites, and more. With a background in preparedness and survival skills, training with county, state, and national organizations, and skills in all areas of media and on air experience in live radio and television, Rich is always thinking about the "big picture", when it comes to helping individuals and families prepare for life's little surprises. Since 1997, he has provided guidance, authentic government survival history, and commentary on why we all need to get ready for that fateful day in the future, when we have to get our hands dirty and step in to save the day. He is an award winning videographer (2005 Telly Award), has received state and national scholarly recognition (2006 New Century Scholar and All USA Academic Team), and is a natural with computers, technology, gadgets, small furry mammals, and anything on wheels. Rich likes making friends, solving problems, and creating solutions to everyday issues. He doesn't mind mixing things up, when there is a teaching moment ready to happen. As a constitutional conservative, he's staying quite busy these days. The SurvivalRing Radio Show at www.survivalringradio.com will be coming back SOON!

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