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Rich
National Hurricane Center Marine Weather Discussion
- Sat, 23 Feb 2019 12:33:35 -0700: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 231933 RRA
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
233 PM EST Sat Feb 23 2019
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure extending from the western Atlantic to the N
central Gulf waters will weaken through the remainder of this
afternoon and early evening as a cold front, that is presently
just inland and along the Texas coast early this afternoon,
pushes offshore to the far western Gulf. A pre-frontal trough
is 60 nm within to the east of the trough. Radar imagery is
revealing scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms along the
pre-frontal trough. Current surface observations are showing a
sharp wind shift of moderate winds from south-southwest to
northwest behind the front. The front is forecast to reach from
southeastern Louisiana to near 27N94W and to near Tampico by
early this evening, from near Apalachicola to 26N91W and to the
SW Gulf near 20N97W by early on Sun and from near Fort Myers to
24N89W and to the coast of Mexico near 18N94W by Sun evening. The
front will then stall and begin to weaken from the Florida Keys
to the SW Gulf of Mexico on Mon. Gale force northwest to north
winds and seas of up to 11 or 12 ft are expected west of the
front over a small section of the SW Gulf from early Sun evening
through Sun night. The frontal remnants will lift back to the
north as a warm front over the central and eastern Gulf on Tue
and to inland the coast by Wed night. High pressure from the
Atlantic will settle back in over the area Wed and Thu providing
for a generally light wind regime across the forecast waters.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
High pressure north of the region will maintain fresh to strong
trade winds across the central Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras
during the next several days. Winds will increase to gale force
along the coast of Colombia, through Wed. An Ascat pass from this
morning depicted the western fringe of the gale force winds
that were ongoing near the and along the coast of Colombia. Long
period north to northeast swell will propagate through the Atlantic
waters and Caribbean Passages east of 65W through Wed, then be
replaced by a much expansive set of north swell through Thu. Wave
model guidance indicates peak wave heights reaching to around 10
ft with this set of swell.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A 1026 mb high center near 28N68W, with a ridge extending
southeastward into the central Atlantic will shift slowly
southeastward through Sun night ahead of a cold front that will
move off the northeast Florida coast by late Sun. The front will
reach from near Bermuda to the Florida Keys by Mon afternoon,
before stalling and weakening along roughly 26N through Tue
night. High pressure north of the area will shift eastward Tue
through Wed night as a trough approaches the southeastern U.S.
Fresh to strong northeast to east winds are expected over much of
the waters Tue through early Wed afternoon. Winds then become
mainly southerly to the north of about 26N Wed night as a cold
front approaches the southeastern U.S. coast. Present indications
from majority of the models are that this front will move across
the far northwest part of the area on Thu.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
.GMZ023...SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W...
Gale Warning S of 20.5N W of 95W from late Sun afternoon through
Sun night.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W
INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
GALE Warning within 90 nm of coast of Colombia at night through
Wed.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster Aguirre. National Hurricane Center.
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