National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

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National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

  • Thu, 16 Sep 2021 23:43:46 -0600: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic

    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 170543
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Fri Sep 17 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on
    Post-Tropical Cyclone Nicholas, located over Louisiana.

    Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized in association with a
    tropical wave and broad area of low pressure located about 1100
    miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. However,
    environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
    development during the next few days, and a tropical depression
    could still form over the weekend. This system is expected to move
    westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the tropical
    Atlantic during the next several days.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

    A broad area of low pressure is located about 100 miles southeast
    of the Outer Banks of North Carolina. Although the circulation of
    this system has become a little better defined since yesterday, the
    associated showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized and
    located mainly well to the east of the center. Environmental
    conditions are becoming more conducive for development, and a
    tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so
    while the system moves northward to north-northeastward off the
    southeast and mid-Atlantic U.S. coasts. Regardless of development,
    this system could bring high surf to portions of the southeast and
    mid-Atlantic U.S. coasts through this weekend. Additional
    information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in
    High Seas Forecasts issued by the NOAA Ocean Prediction Center.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

    Disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms over the far eastern
    tropical Atlantic are associated with a tropical wave located a few
    hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental
    conditions are forecast to be only marginally conducive, and
    development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur over the
    next few days while the system moves west-northwestward to
    northwestward over the far eastern Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

    &&
    Public advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center on
    Post-Tropical Cyclone Nicholas can be found under AWIPS header
    TCPAT4, WMO header WTNT34 KWNH, and on the web at
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov or hurricanes.gov

    High Seas Forecasts for the system off the Outer Banks of North
    Carolina issued by the NOAA Ocean Prediction Center can be found
    under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
    ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
  • Thu, 16 Sep 2021 20:37:19 -0600: Post-Tropical Cyclone Nicholas Public Advisory Number 20 - NHC Atlantic
    The NHC has issued its final advisory on this system. Public Advisories from the Weather Prediction Center will provide updates as long as the system remains a flood threat. Issued at 1000 PM CDT Thu Sep 16 2021

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Updated: March 6, 2011 — 12:33 am

The Author

Rich Fleetwood

Rich is the founder of SurvivalRing, now in it's 24th year, author of multimedia CDs and DVDs, loves the outdoors, his family, his geeky skill-set, and lives in rural southern Wyoming, just below the continental divide (long story, that...). Always ready to help others, he shares what he learns on multiple blogs, many social sites, and more. With a background in preparedness and survival skills, training with county, state, and national organizations, and skills in all areas of media and on air experience in live radio and television, Rich is always thinking about the "big picture", when it comes to helping individuals and families prepare for life's little surprises.

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